Recent reports indicate that the much-anticipated Nintendo Switch 2 may not see the light of day until at least April 2025. This news aligns with previous rumors that Nintendo’s next console won’t be released during the company’s current fiscal year, which ends in March 2025.

Nintendo’s Cautious Approach to the Switch 2 Launch

In the spring of this year, Nintendo President Shuntaro Furukawa confirmed that the Switch 2 would be announced during the ongoing fiscal year. However, industry analysts quickly pointed out that this did not necessarily mean the console would be released within that same period. In fact, many speculated that the actual release might not occur until the fiscal year ending March 2026. This speculation was partly based on Nintendo’s financial forecast, which did not predict the kind of revenue boost typically associated with a major hardware launch.

Insider Insights: Developers Anticipate a Later Release

Further evidence supporting a later release for the Switch 2 comes from Christopher Dring, head of games B2B at GamesIndustry.biz. During a recent episode of the GI Microcast podcast, Dring revealed that no developers he has spoken to expect the Switch 2 to be released before the end of the current fiscal year. In fact, some of Nintendo’s partners have reportedly been informed not to expect the console until at least April 2025.

Given this timeline, many developers are now hoping for a release window in April or May 2025. However, this remains uncertain. According to a report from Nikkei in February 2024, Nintendo is determined to avoid the launch shortages that plagued the original Switch in 2017. To ensure a smooth launch, the company may delay the release as long as necessary to build up sufficient stock.

The Challenge of Avoiding Launch Shortages

Avoiding shortages for a highly anticipated console like the Switch 2 requires significant lead time. For context, the original Switch began mass production in October 2016, following its announcement, but still faced supply issues when it launched in March 2017. If Nintendo wants to avoid a repeat of that situation, it may need to start mass production for the Switch 2 well in advance of its announcement, which could mean a gap of six months or more between the official reveal and the console’s release.

While such a long gap might be necessary to ensure a smooth launch, it also increases the risk of leaks. Starting mass production before announcing the console would heighten the chances of information being leaked from factory floors, which is a risk Nintendo is likely eager to avoid.

What to Expect from the Switch 2

During a May 2024 earnings call, Furukawa hinted that the Switch 2 will likely follow in the footsteps of its predecessor, maintaining a hybrid design capable of both handheld and docked play. The console is rumored to be powered by a custom Nvidia system-on-chip known as the T239.

Final Thoughts

The release of the Nintendo Switch 2 is shaping up to be one of the most anticipated events in the gaming industry. However, with reports suggesting that the console might not arrive until at least April 2025, fans may need to exercise patience. As Nintendo continues to refine its launch strategy to avoid the pitfalls of the past, the gaming world watches closely for any new developments. Until then, gamers can look forward to more updates and possibly a formal announcement within the coming months.

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