When Starfield launched, Bethesda had high expectations. The leaked documents from a significant Xbox leak last week offer a glimpse into the financial calculations Bethesda made regarding Starfield. The figures point toward almost $1 billion in expected revenue over a four-year period. In this blog post, we will dissect these projections in detail, contextualize them within the game’s current performance, and assess whether Bethesda is on track to meet these ambitious targets.

Four-Year Revenue Projections

The four-year revenue projection for Starfield is highly optimistic. In the first year post-launch, Bethesda expected to rake in $600 million. That number was followed by $215 million for year two. As the game matures and enters the latter stages of its lifecycle, the revenue figures decline to $50 million and $35 million for years three and four, respectively.

Originally, these projections were aligned with the fiscal year 2021 (FY21), but the game’s release was pushed back. Despite the change in schedule, the numbers remain consistent, providing a framework to gauge the game’s performance.

Current Performance Metrics

As of the time of writing, Starfield has attracted more than 10 million players who have ventured into its expansive universe. To put it into perspective, if only half of these players were to purchase the base version of the game at $70, Bethesda would already generate a staggering $350 million. This is a crucial factor when considering the company’s first-year projection of $600 million.

Post-Launch Support and Additional Revenue Streams

In addition to sales of the base game, Bethesda has post-launch support mechanisms and deluxe editions that could significantly contribute to its revenue. While the details of these supplementary income streams are not explicitly outlined in the leaked documents, they undeniably offer potential for additional revenue. Therefore, considering these factors, it is plausible to assume that Bethesda is well on its way to meeting, if not exceeding, its projected figures.

Conclusion

Bethesda’s leaked revenue projections for Starfield indicate a confident outlook on the game’s financial performance over four years. Although ambitious, the numbers are grounded in reasonable assumptions. Current performance metrics suggest that the company is likely on track to achieve its goals. The post-launch support and other potential revenue streams further strengthen this likelihood.

With a robust start and promising numbers, it would not be surprising if Starfield ends up fulfilling Bethesda’s financial projections, marking it as another blockbuster in the company’s portfolio. Given the game’s current trajectory, and assuming continued interest and support from the gaming community, Bethesda appears to be in a good position to meet its ambitious four-year revenue goals for Starfield.

Also Read: